OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.5.1 | Coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.5.1 | Coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| WORLD | 1 255 318 | 1 449 401 | 2.95 | 1.40 | 145 379 | 179 094 | 3.80 | 2.01 | 159 390 | 184 989 | 4.08 | 1.94 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 645 839 | 729 795 | 1.81 | 0.97 | 40 674 | 38 042 | 1.38 | 1.18 | 95 449 | 120 108 | 1.20 | 1.81 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 368 005 | 421 411 | 1.61 | 1.03 | 4 781 | 4 202 | -0.57 | -0.56 | 48 666 | 66 594 | -4.14 | 1.53 |
| Canada | 24 990 | 27 473 | -0.51 | 1.50 | 863 | 1 500 | -13.53 | -1.96 | 6 079 | 5 884 | 2.98 | 1.98 |
| United States | 343 015 | 393 938 | 1.76 | 1.00 | 3 918 | 2 702 | 6.36 | 0.39 | 42 587 | 60 710 | -4.96 | 1.49 |
| EUROPE | 245 684 | 273 940 | 2.07 | 0.90 | 14 541 | 11 108 | 9.35 | 5.17 | 37 699 | 44 939 | 13.05 | 2.48 |
| European Union | 158 010 | 170 180 | 0.92 | 0.56 | 13 218 | 10 068 | 12.17 | 6.32 | 10 186 | 11 529 | 4.05 | 4.19 |
| Russian Federation | 35 257 | 41 321 | 2.19 | 1.35 | 252 | 83 | -7.28 | -10.32 | 5 365 | 5 072 | 16.29 | 1.70 |
| Ukraine | 36 076 | 42 476 | 9.68 | 1.63 | 28 | 25 | -5.50 | -0.15 | 19 792 | 23 915 | 19.50 | 1.76 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 12 279 | 11 358 | 0.71 | 0.10 | 49 | 61 | 43.23 | 4.23 | 6 441 | 5 475 | 5.24 | 0.04 |
| Australia | 11 608 | 10 627 | 0.61 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 6 434 | 5 468 | 5.25 | 0.04 |
| New Zealand | 671 | 731 | 3.28 | 1.21 | 49 | 61 | 46.49 | 4.23 | 7 | 7 | 12.33 | 0.00 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 19 870 | 23 086 | 4.09 | 1.34 | 21 303 | 22 671 | -1.09 | -0.03 | 2 644 | 3 100 | 6.98 | 2.03 |
| Japan | 217 | 201 | -0.52 | -0.44 | 18 826 | 19 746 | -1.19 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| South Africa | 13 962 | 16 154 | 5.23 | 1.47 | 172 | 134 | -16.08 | -0.76 | 2 282 | 2 759 | 11.96 | 2.99 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 609 479 | 719 606 | 4.29 | 1.84 | 104 705 | 141 052 | 4.89 | 2.24 | 63 940 | 64 881 | 10.42 | 2.17 |
| AFRICA | 104 312 | 133 421 | 3.28 | 2.36 | 19 318 | 24 194 | 3.91 | 2.36 | 5 365 | 4 024 | 14.07 | -1.35 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 11 303 | 13 928 | -0.49 | 1.55 | 15 755 | 19 205 | 5.51 | 2.07 | 50 | 48 | -3.21 | -0.69 |
| Algeria | 1 514 | 2 252 | 4.80 | 3.28 | 3 856 | 4 686 | 7.96 | 1.42 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Egypt | 6 981 | 8 094 | -2.55 | 0.90 | 7 040 | 8 517 | 6.51 | 2.35 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.16 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 93 010 | 119 493 | 3.83 | 2.46 | 3 563 | 4 989 | -1.45 | 3.57 | 5 315 | 3 977 | 14.42 | -1.35 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 166 640 | 186 966 | 5.52 | 1.91 | 28 521 | 39 084 | 3.24 | 1.87 | 51 711 | 56 137 | 12.49 | 2.47 |
| Argentina | 37 577 | 45 385 | 7.50 | 2.62 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 21 742 | 26 675 | 11.04 | 2.50 |
| Brazil | 78 979 | 89 181 | 7.93 | 2.12 | 1 250 | 801 | 2.04 | -2.24 | 26 408 | 26 435 | 13.63 | 2.76 |
| Chile | 1 942 | 2 156 | 0.49 | 2.61 | 1 744 | 1 762 | 0.98 | -0.44 | 142 | 155 | 4.29 | 0.44 |
| Mexico | 30 115 | 30 476 | 0.69 | 0.45 | 10 402 | 15 603 | 1.66 | 2.12 | 476 | 195 | 12.74 | 8.17 |
| Uruguay | 1 112 | 1 095 | 5.27 | 0.67 | 45 | 35 | -11.50 | 2.57 | 100 | 117 | 1.59 | -2.72 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 338 527 | 399 219 | 4.07 | 1.64 | 56 866 | 77 774 | 6.22 | 2.40 | 6 864 | 4 720 | 0.22 | 2.35 |
| Bangladesh | 2 315 | 2 952 | 16.80 | 1.99 | 30 | 101 | -23.67 | 16.83 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -4.92 |
| China 2 | 222 265 | 259 536 | 4.84 | 1.37 | 9 476 | 17 896 | 29.00 | 4.15 | 249 | 325 | -27.28 | 0.98 |
| India | 40 830 | 48 699 | 1.92 | 2.70 | 20 | 4 | -6.85 | -0.48 | 4 313 | 2 842 | 20.08 | 6.70 |
| Indonesia | 19 009 | 22 070 | 5.76 | 1.99 | 2 772 | 4 100 | 30.51 | 1.00 | 20 | 18 | -17.02 | -1.27 |
| Iran, Islamic Republic of | 4 527 | 6 339 | -1.04 | 2.28 | 5 610 | 6 812 | 7.81 | 2.69 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Korea | 213 | 205 | -4.42 | -1.08 | 9 332 | 11 147 | 0.86 | 1.58 | 0 | 0 | 3.73 | 0.00 |
| Malaysia | 55 | 45 | 3.09 | -0.03 | 3 566 | 5 198 | 4.53 | 2.68 | 8 | 6 | -0.94 | -2.61 |
| Pakistan | 5 012 | 6 233 | 4.33 | 2.19 | 21 | 32 | 0.27 | 2.90 | 250 | 44 | 278.70 | -5.90 |
| Saudi Arabia | 372 | 468 | -0.70 | 2.50 | 11 209 | 13 036 | 4.84 | 1.88 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
| Turkey | 13 303 | 16 082 | 0.16 | 1.84 | 1 630 | 2 465 | 17.38 | 2.86 | 176 | 267 | -8.16 | 1.73 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 75 178 | 94 675 | 4.80 | 2.39 | 2 425 | 4 621 | -1.57 | 4.60 | 5 790 | 3 310 | 16.76 | -3.46 |
| OECD 3 | 585 312 | 653 329 | 1.28 | 0.88 | 62 549 | 67 649 | 1.71 | 1.47 | 66 087 | 84 216 | -2.36 | 1.76 |
| BRICS | 391 293 | 454 891 | 4.78 | 1.65 | 11 171 | 18 918 | 16.26 | 3.59 | 38 617 | 37 433 | 10.37 | 2.86 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |