OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015
This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
From Chapter:
Statistical Annex
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
| A.4.2 | Wheat projections: Consumption, food use, per capita | ||||||||||||
| A.4.2 | Wheat projections: Consumption, food use, per capita | ||||||||||||
| Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | CONSUMPTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | FOOD USE (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | PER CAPITA (kg) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| | WORLD | 694 439 | 784 294 | 1.53 | 1.09 | 480 890 | 535 731 | 1.15 | 1.00 | 67.2 | 66.9 | -0.04 | -0.01 |
| | DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 265 187 | 283 920 | 0.19 | 0.65 | 132 424 | 138 497 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 94.9 | 96.1 | -0.20 | 0.11 |
| | NORTH AMERICA | 45 043 | 45 809 | 1.77 | 0.53 | 28 615 | 30 835 | 0.22 | 0.68 | 80.6 | 79.7 | -0.68 | -0.10 |
| | Canada | 10 035 | 10 973 | 3.03 | 0.62 | 2 696 | 2 852 | -1.15 | 0.55 | 76.6 | 73.3 | -2.21 | -0.35 |
| | United States | 35 009 | 34 836 | 1.41 | 0.51 | 25 919 | 27 983 | 0.37 | 0.69 | 81.0 | 80.4 | -0.51 | -0.07 |
| | EUROPE | 176 408 | 188 572 | -0.36 | 0.57 | 80 027 | 80 532 | -0.03 | 0.07 | 107.7 | 108.4 | -0.19 | 0.09 |
| | European Union | 120 538 | 127 038 | -0.44 | 0.34 | 55 815 | 57 245 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 109.6 | 110.7 | -0.02 | 0.11 |
| | Russian Federation | 35 699 | 39 144 | -0.87 | 1.19 | 14 017 | 13 467 | -0.84 | -0.39 | 98.1 | 97.9 | -0.75 | -0.04 |
| | Ukraine | 12 265 | 14 036 | 1.18 | 1.03 | 5 248 | 4 832 | -0.96 | -0.62 | 116.0 | 115.3 | -0.45 | 0.09 |
| | OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 7 624 | 7 978 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 2 438 | 2 749 | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.6 | 87.0 | -0.41 | -0.08 |
| | Australia | 6 707 | 6 881 | -0.42 | 0.15 | 2 048 | 2 346 | 1.12 | 1.23 | 87.7 | 88.1 | -0.48 | 0.03 |
| | New Zealand | 917 | 1 097 | 5.20 | 1.59 | 390 | 404 | 1.07 | 0.23 | 86.6 | 81.1 | 0.01 | -0.66 |
| | OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 36 111 | 41 561 | 1.19 | 1.28 | 21 344 | 24 381 | 1.36 | 1.12 | 79.4 | 87.1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| | Japan | 6 808 | 6 709 | 1.10 | -0.02 | 5 267 | 5 356 | 0.15 | -0.27 | 41.4 | 43.3 | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| | South Africa | 3 202 | 3 464 | 1.58 | 0.69 | 3 078 | 3 318 | 1.34 | 0.65 | 58.3 | 58.9 | 0.25 | 0.07 |
| | DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 429 252 | 500 374 | 2.43 | 1.34 | 348 466 | 397 234 | 1.51 | 1.21 | 60.4 | 60.5 | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| | AFRICA | 61 605 | 76 395 | 3.18 | 1.88 | 52 465 | 64 426 | 2.45 | 1.91 | 49.6 | 46.7 | -0.13 | -0.50 |
| | NORTH AFRICA | 42 306 | 49 711 | 3.09 | 1.28 | 34 502 | 39 400 | 1.99 | 1.16 | 201.2 | 198.5 | 0.42 | -0.12 |
| | Algeria | 9 517 | 10 972 | 2.91 | 1.05 | 7 950 | 8 921 | 1.92 | 0.98 | 202.8 | 193.9 | 0.09 | -0.40 |
| | Egypt | 19 165 | 22 430 | 3.20 | 1.39 | 16 248 | 18 783 | 2.02 | 1.30 | 198.0 | 196.0 | 0.33 | -0.08 |
| | SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 19 299 | 26 684 | 3.39 | 3.11 | 17 963 | 25 026 | 3.36 | 3.20 | 20.3 | 21.2 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| | LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 36 985 | 40 067 | 1.56 | 0.75 | 33 846 | 36 236 | 1.80 | 0.68 | 54.9 | 52.9 | 0.65 | -0.26 |
| | Argentina | 5 386 | 5 680 | 1.51 | 0.53 | 4 942 | 5 229 | 1.10 | 0.51 | 119.2 | 115.9 | 0.22 | -0.24 |
| | Brazil | 11 025 | 11 481 | 1.77 | 0.45 | 10 533 | 11 006 | 1.69 | 0.45 | 52.6 | 50.9 | 0.78 | -0.22 |
| | Chile | 2 305 | 2 561 | 0.83 | 0.80 | 2 111 | 2 307 | 1.56 | 0.76 | 119.8 | 120.4 | 0.61 | 0.01 |
| | Mexico | 6 974 | 7 342 | 1.60 | 0.62 | 5 951 | 5 885 | 3.26 | 0.29 | 48.7 | 43.0 | 1.99 | -0.70 |
| | Uruguay | 643 | 700 | 3.71 | 0.62 | 396 | 412 | 1.04 | 0.33 | 116.3 | 117.0 | 0.71 | 0.03 |
| | ASIA and PACIFIC | 330 662 | 383 912 | 2.39 | 1.30 | 262 155 | 296 573 | 1.29 | 1.13 | 64.1 | 65.8 | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| | Bangladesh | 3 678 | 4 540 | 2.58 | 1.57 | 3 237 | 3 891 | 1.49 | 1.63 | 20.7 | 22.1 | 0.36 | 0.57 |
| | China 2 | 124 609 | 133 173 | 2.52 | 0.52 | 90 215 | 87 088 | 0.29 | -0.28 | 65.1 | 60.2 | -0.34 | -0.64 |
| | India | 85 900 | 108 585 | 1.92 | 2.11 | 76 364 | 96 456 | 1.68 | 2.15 | 61.0 | 68.6 | 0.37 | 1.11 |
| | Indonesia | 6 850 | 8 688 | 5.09 | 1.63 | 4 784 | 5 479 | 2.14 | 1.02 | 19.1 | 19.6 | 0.80 | 0.02 |
| | Iran, Islamic Republic of | 16 750 | 19 712 | 1.31 | 1.20 | 12 950 | 14 776 | 1.25 | 1.15 | 167.2 | 169.2 | -0.01 | 0.10 |
| | Korea | 4 494 | 3 985 | 4.10 | -0.57 | 2 363 | 2 398 | 0.32 | 0.12 | 48.0 | 46.6 | -0.26 | -0.25 |
| | Malaysia | 1 260 | 1 505 | 2.04 | 1.58 | 915 | 1 063 | -0.19 | 1.34 | 30.8 | 30.8 | -1.91 | 0.00 |
| | Pakistan | 24 401 | 30 753 | 1.70 | 2.04 | 22 718 | 28 700 | 2.13 | 2.11 | 124.7 | 133.3 | 0.34 | 0.59 |
| | Saudi Arabia | 3 610 | 4 300 | 5.25 | 1.47 | 2 805 | 3 325 | 3.53 | 1.46 | 97.3 | 98.2 | 1.62 | 0.06 |
| | Turkey | 21 782 | 23 557 | 1.92 | 0.74 | 15 829 | 17 192 | 1.37 | 0.70 | 211.3 | 207.0 | 0.11 | -0.18 |
| | LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 28 627 | 37 128 | 3.93 | 2.45 | 25 526 | 33 317 | 3.64 | 2.53 | 28.4 | 29.2 | 1.30 | 0.34 |
| | OECD 3 | 219 195 | 229 067 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 120 474 | 126 256 | 0.57 | 0.42 | 92.3 | 91.9 | -0.06 | -0.04 |
| | BRICS | 260 435 | 295 847 | 1.76 | 1.17 | 194 206 | 211 336 | 0.82 | 0.80 | 64.0 | 64.8 | -0.07 | 0.17 |
| Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
| Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
| Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en | |||||||||||||