OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015
This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.5.2 | Coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed use, per capita | ||||||||||||
A.5.2 | Coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed use, per capita | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | CONSUMPTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | FEED USE (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | PER CAPITA (kg) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| WORLD | 1 214 979 | 1 440 131 | 2.42 | 1.35 | 694 740 | 850 663 | 1.57 | 1.64 | 28.0 | 29.9 | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 580 850 | 646 049 | 1.25 | 0.76 | 341 044 | 394 021 | -0.69 | 1.25 | 21.6 | 21.5 | -0.53 | -0.22 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 317 193 | 358 977 | 2.11 | 0.88 | 143 405 | 181 609 | -2.71 | 1.91 | 21.8 | 21.8 | -1.57 | -0.13 |
| Canada | 20 042 | 22 932 | -2.06 | 1.12 | 14 194 | 16 440 | -3.86 | 1.50 | 42.4 | 42.4 | -6.90 | -0.30 |
| United States | 297 150 | 336 045 | 2.44 | 0.87 | 129 211 | 165 169 | -2.58 | 1.95 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 0.18 | -0.10 |
| EUROPE | 219 096 | 240 132 | 0.35 | 0.66 | 169 257 | 182 555 | 1.31 | 0.79 | 21.3 | 21.0 | -0.05 | -0.40 |
| European Union | 158 604 | 168 908 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 120 533 | 123 696 | 0.84 | 0.54 | 19.0 | 19.4 | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| Russian Federation | 29 393 | 36 268 | -0.02 | 1.14 | 26 134 | 32 633 | 4.12 | 1.40 | 20.5 | 17.9 | -1.32 | -2.58 |
| Ukraine | 16 317 | 18 511 | 2.51 | 1.34 | 10 878 | 12 941 | 3.52 | 1.78 | 45.0 | 45.1 | 0.71 | 0.08 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 6 082 | 5 944 | -2.75 | 0.18 | 3 570 | 3 605 | -5.62 | 0.40 | 16.2 | 13.4 | 0.07 | -1.17 |
| Australia | 5 369 | 5 159 | -3.43 | 0.01 | 2 980 | 2 946 | -6.78 | 0.21 | 14.1 | 11.2 | -1.60 | -2.00 |
| New Zealand | 713 | 785 | 4.46 | 1.42 | 590 | 659 | 4.23 | 1.29 | 27.4 | 25.1 | 5.63 | 1.21 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 38 479 | 40 995 | 0.48 | 0.35 | 24 813 | 26 252 | 0.52 | 0.26 | 22.7 | 23.6 | -0.47 | 0.20 |
| Japan | 19 072 | 18 332 | -1.27 | -0.60 | 13 927 | 13 102 | -1.21 | -0.90 | 6.2 | 7.1 | -2.01 | -0.03 |
| South Africa | 11 809 | 13 500 | 2.51 | 1.09 | 5 165 | 6 185 | 3.37 | 1.52 | 93.2 | 93.1 | -0.45 | 0.01 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 634 129 | 794 082 | 3.61 | 1.85 | 353 696 | 456 642 | 4.23 | 1.98 | 29.5 | 31.7 | 0.74 | 0.80 |
| AFRICA | 118 456 | 153 140 | 3.24 | 2.39 | 27 270 | 36 408 | 4.30 | 2.43 | 71.5 | 71.2 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 26 874 | 32 992 | 2.54 | 1.74 | 19 267 | 24 436 | 3.21 | 1.99 | 39.5 | 38.2 | -0.14 | -0.28 |
| Algeria | 5 204 | 6 903 | 6.29 | 1.82 | 4 344 | 5 917 | 7.64 | 1.91 | 18.5 | 18.3 | -0.66 | 0.07 |
| Egypt | 14 038 | 16 589 | 1.47 | 1.56 | 9 583 | 11 618 | 1.81 | 1.83 | 49.9 | 47.3 | -0.17 | -0.48 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 91 582 | 120 148 | 3.46 | 2.58 | 8 003 | 11 972 | 7.46 | 3.37 | 77.7 | 76.7 | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 139 749 | 168 830 | 2.96 | 1.49 | 92 398 | 112 944 | 3.58 | 1.61 | 53.2 | 54.6 | 0.77 | 0.15 |
| Argentina | 14 769 | 18 659 | 4.73 | 2.12 | 10 455 | 12 451 | 6.43 | 1.88 | 45.6 | 44.9 | 2.77 | -0.08 |
| Brazil | 51 539 | 62 724 | 4.53 | 1.43 | 40 697 | 49 878 | 5.10 | 1.52 | 26.0 | 27.7 | 1.42 | 0.46 |
| Chile | 3 480 | 3 753 | 0.66 | 1.02 | 2 755 | 2 947 | 0.85 | 1.02 | 18.5 | 18.3 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Mexico | 39 707 | 45 799 | 0.62 | 0.93 | 20 923 | 24 312 | -0.05 | 0.91 | 130.0 | 134.0 | 0.55 | 0.06 |
| Uruguay | 888 | 1 010 | 2.75 | 0.67 | 316 | 386 | 2.42 | 1.07 | 22.8 | 22.8 | -1.22 | 0.20 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 375 924 | 472 112 | 3.99 | 1.82 | 234 028 | 307 290 | 4.48 | 2.07 | 15.0 | 16.2 | 0.29 | 0.84 |
| Bangladesh | 2 301 | 3 043 | 13.19 | 2.12 | 1 367 | 1 914 | 20.27 | 2.45 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 4.35 | 0.69 |
| China 2 | 219 948 | 277 696 | 4.86 | 1.70 | 145 861 | 192 758 | 5.43 | 1.95 | 11.3 | 12.3 | 1.43 | 0.81 |
| India | 36 272 | 45 631 | 1.04 | 2.56 | 5 927 | 8 311 | 4.58 | 3.63 | 20.5 | 22.7 | -1.05 | 1.43 |
| Indonesia | 21 662 | 26 015 | 7.17 | 1.66 | 6 900 | 9 440 | 6.98 | 2.88 | 28.7 | 28.2 | 0.28 | -0.13 |
| Iran, Islamic Republic of | 9 970 | 13 085 | 2.93 | 2.33 | 9 575 | 12 651 | 3.13 | 2.40 | 1.3 | 1.3 | -1.24 | 0.06 |
| Korea | 9 239 | 11 304 | 0.36 | 1.20 | 7 022 | 9 024 | 0.19 | 1.55 | 4.5 | 4.4 | -0.44 | -0.17 |
| Malaysia | 3 612 | 5 232 | 4.71 | 2.64 | 3 445 | 5 059 | 4.93 | 2.74 | 1.6 | 1.5 | -1.48 | -0.03 |
| Pakistan | 4 999 | 6 197 | 4.87 | 2.05 | 2 078 | 2 724 | 4.91 | 2.75 | 9.3 | 9.9 | 0.85 | 0.64 |
| Saudi Arabia | 11 248 | 13 446 | 3.74 | 1.60 | 11 000 | 13 154 | 3.90 | 1.60 | 3.3 | 3.3 | -1.77 | 0.02 |
| Turkey | 14 674 | 18 231 | 0.77 | 1.90 | 11 878 | 15 306 | 0.82 | 2.20 | 20.3 | 20.2 | 1.25 | 0.03 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 71 901 | 95 622 | 4.30 | 2.67 | 9 335 | 14 047 | 8.58 | 3.47 | 56.7 | 59.9 | 1.02 | 0.60 |
| OECD 3 | 571 782 | 635 102 | 1.23 | 0.76 | 327 387 | 377 320 | -1.08 | 1.24 | 28.3 | 29.6 | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| BRICS | 348 960 | 435 819 | 3.82 | 1.68 | 223 783 | 289 765 | 5.14 | 1.85 | 17.9 | 19.4 | -0.02 | 0.90 |
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |